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UnitedHealth Group Faces Profitability Challenges in OptumHealth Amid Medicare Advantage Utilization Spike

UnitedHealth Group (UHG) reported significant underperformance in its latest quarterly earnings, largely driven by challenges within its OptumHealth segment. The segment, which includes physicians and clinicians, absorbed higher-risk members than anticipated, leading to increased medical utilization and pressures on costs. This spike was notably observed in outpatient care and outpatient behavioral health services, compounded by coding transition issues linked to the v28 risk adjustment model.

The influx of these high-risk members was partly a result of competitors such as CVS and Humana exiting unprofitable Medicare Advantage (MA) markets. OptumHealth, as a large and payor-agnostic player willing to stay in these markets, ended up serving these costly and less engaged patients, which created profitability challenges intensified by regulatory coding shifts.

Within the insurance operations, Medicare Advantage utilization across physician, outpatient, and inpatient services doubled UHG’s expectations, raising concerns about the sustainability of its value-based care and full-risk patient management strategies. UHG executives emphasized that patient engagement beyond primary care visits, involving unexpected follow-up care, was a principal cost driver. The company is prioritizing increased engagement at the clinical level to address these issues.

Despite setbacks, OptumRx showed strengths, including a promising biosimilar pipeline and regulatory advances like the removal of prior authorization for a selection of drugs, which strategically eases medication access and potentially reduces administrative burdens. However, the financial impact of these operational challenges was evident with a 10% revenue guidance cut for Optum and a noticeable reversion to fee-for-service models.

Looking ahead, investor focus will turn to upcoming earnings from industry peers such as Humana and CVS to gauge whether shedding high-cost members will protect profitability in 2025. The persistent presence of an unprofitable member segment within Medicare Advantage raises broader questions about sustainable care delivery models for high-risk populations.

UHG continues to face scrutiny regarding its risk adjustment practices and member experience, underscoring ongoing complexity in healthcare market dynamics. While these challenges affect short-term performance and perception, UnitedHealth Group maintains a strong long-term position within the U.S. healthcare industry, adapting through strategic responses to evolving regulatory and market conditions.