Supreme Court Tariff Case: Lower Odds Now for Trump Administration Success

Prediction markets are now assigning lower probabilities to a Supreme Court ruling favoring the Trump administration's use of emergency powers to impose global import tariffs. Kalshi currently estimates a 26% chance, down from 49% in early November, while Polymarket sets the odds at 27%, down from 39%. The Supreme Court is reviewing the legality of these emergency powers used to implement tariffs. The ruling is anticipated imminently, with potential outcomes under close analysis by industry observers.